YEARLY HIGH
147.1937 CDF
YEARLY LOW
91.3604 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
110.4485 CDF

2016 VEF to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 22, valuing the pair at 147.1937. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 11, dropping to 91.3604.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 55.8333 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 146.6511 to the December average rate of 116.6281, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 147.1937 was down 0.13% compared to the 2015 peak of 147.3861, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 735,969 CDF
2015 Average 732,997 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 456,802 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 279,166.68 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

152.2765
87.6647
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 120.0725, compared to 100.8245 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 19.2480 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 120.0725
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 100.8245

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 22.8332 CDF (High: 114.7242 / Low: 91.8910). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3980 CDF (High: 93.2269 / Low: 92.8288).

November Spread (Volatile) ±22.8332
May Spread (Stable) ±0.3980

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 53.5144 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -53.5144

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 146.8922) against the same month in 2015 (average: 146.6459), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2463 (+0.17%).

2016 Avg (February) 146.8922
2015 Avg (February) 146.6459

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 146.9659 146.2526 146.6511
February 147.1937 146.5534 146.8922
March 146.9841 146.0484 146.5711
April 93.2540 92.7644 93.0567
May 93.2269 92.8288 93.0491
June 96.3095 91.3604 94.2146
July 97.9059 94.0567 95.3258
August 98.5030 97.1890 97.9043
September 98.4177 97.2767 97.8505
October 98.2830 96.1259 97.3558
November 114.7242 91.8910 99.8822
December 119.5598 113.4735 116.6281