YEARLY HIGH
4936.2270 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4618.1256 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4749.3104 UGX

2016 XDR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the XDR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 4936.2270. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 4618.1256.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 318.1014 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4761.3225 to the December average rate of 4849.1509, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4936.2270 was down 5.12% compared to the 2015 peak of 5202.4603, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,681,135 UGX
2015 Average 22,656,571 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 23,090,628 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,590,507.08 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4880.6735
4675.9247
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4732.8021, compared to 4765.8187 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 33.0166 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4732.8021
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4765.8187

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 217.4488 UGX (High: 4865.2366 / Low: 4647.7878). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 38.3536 UGX (High: 4745.7807 / Low: 4707.4271).

February Spread (Volatile) ±217.4488
September Spread (Stable) ±38.3536

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 87.3592 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -87.3592

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 4849.1509) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4660.8135), the exchange rate shifted by +188.3374 (+4.04%).

2016 Avg (December) 4849.1509
2015 Avg (December) 4660.8135

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4815.7730 4678.6692 4761.3225
February 4865.2366 4647.7878 4780.3462
March 4748.0792 4618.1256 4692.9871
April 4748.1190 4646.6219 4708.1945
May 4755.7204 4684.7680 4716.5339
June 4788.9130 4710.6819 4737.4283
July 4749.4995 4662.7906 4701.5506
August 4746.8729 4692.5769 4713.7873
September 4745.7807 4707.4271 4730.3676
October 4770.4985 4713.3480 4736.4448
November 4911.1086 4772.0404 4863.6111
December 4936.2270 4759.0790 4849.1509