2016 XDR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4936.2270 UGX

YEARLY LOW

4618.1256 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4749.3104 UGX

2016 XDR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the XDR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 4936.2270. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 4618.1256.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 318.1014 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4761.3225 to the December average rate of 4849.1509, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4936.2270 was down 5.12% compared to the 2015 peak of 5202.4603, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,681,135 UGX

2015 Average 22,656,571 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 23,090,628 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,590,507.08 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4880.6735

4675.9247

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4732.8021, compared to 4765.8187 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 33.0166 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4732.8021

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4765.8187

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 217.4488 UGX (High: 4865.2366 / Low: 4647.7878). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 38.3536 UGX (High: 4745.7807 / Low: 4707.4271).

February Spread (Volatile) ±217.4488

September Spread (Stable) ±38.3536

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 87.3592 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -87.3592

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 4849.1509) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4660.8135), the exchange rate shifted by +188.3374 (+4.04%).

2016 Avg (December) 4849.1509

2015 Avg (December) 4660.8135

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4815.7730	4678.6692	4761.3225
February	4865.2366	4647.7878	4780.3462
March	4748.0792	4618.1256	4692.9871
April	4748.1190	4646.6219	4708.1945
May	4755.7204	4684.7680	4716.5339
June	4788.9130	4710.6819	4737.4283
July	4749.4995	4662.7906	4701.5506
August	4746.8729	4692.5769	4713.7873
September	4745.7807	4707.4271	4730.3676
October	4770.4985	4713.3480	4736.4448
November	4911.1086	4772.0404	4863.6111
December	4936.2270	4759.0790	4849.1509