2019 XDR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

5256.3223 UGX

YEARLY LOW

4965.3007 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

5127.0528 UGX

2019 XDR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the XDR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 9, valuing the pair at 5256.3223. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 4965.3007.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 291.0216 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5174.8216 to the December average rate of 5067.2909, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5256.3223 was down 4.59% compared to the 2018 peak of 5508.9999, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,281,612 UGX

2018 Average 26,410,742 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 24,826,504 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,455,107.97 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5251.0057

5009.8866

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5182.8000, compared to 5071.3056 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 111.4944 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5182.8000

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5071.3056

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 129.9017 UGX (High: 5131.1770 / Low: 5001.2753). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 37.1968 UGX (High: 5184.2282 / Low: 5147.0315).

October Spread (Volatile) ±129.9017

March Spread (Stable) ±37.1968

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 83.5276 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -83.5276

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 5230.9124) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5313.4338), the exchange rate shifted by -82.5214 (-1.55%).

2019 Avg (May) 5230.9124

2018 Avg (May) 5313.4338

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	5215.9692	5106.2172	5174.8216
February	5180.7640	5107.3918	5125.9106
March	5184.2282	5147.0315	5168.9719
April	5238.9737	5170.2573	5205.0978
May	5256.3223	5208.5671	5230.9124
June	5243.4031	5122.5256	5191.0855
July	5169.6579	5086.4186	5107.5580
August	5095.1991	4965.3007	5066.4424
September	5048.9830	4989.2725	5029.9798
October	5131.1770	5001.2753	5074.2722
November	5120.3481	5063.0789	5082.2900
December	5098.0095	5040.2358	5067.2909