YEARLY HIGH
5389.3516 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4935.9689 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
5250.3601 UGX

2026 XDR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the XDR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 5389.3516. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 4935.9689.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 453.3827 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5131.0634 to the December average rate of 5286.2213, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 5389.3516 was up 3.12% compared to the 2025 peak of 5226.1163, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,946,758 UGX
2025 Average 24,982,079 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 24,679,844 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,266,913.71 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

5407.9122
5105.8953
JanuMarcMayJuly

XDR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5255.6094, compared to 5234.6122 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 20.9972 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5255.6094
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5234.6122

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was June, with a trading range of 446.0234 UGX (High: 5389.3516 / Low: 4943.3282). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 UGX (High: 5286.2213 / Low: 5286.2213).

June Spread (Volatile) ±446.0234
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 146.2501 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -146.2501

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 5382.7441) against the same month in 2025 (average: 5049.9471), the exchange rate shifted by +332.7970 (+6.59%).

2026 Avg (May) 5382.7441
2025 Avg (May) 5049.9471

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5260.9519 4935.9689 5131.0634
February 5236.5700 5126.2557 5170.1962
March 5361.6268 5214.5194 5289.0342
April 5359.7644 5238.4848 5324.1243
May 5389.3516 5372.5668 5382.7441
June 5389.3516 4943.3282 5236.4940
July 5259.8575 5121.3588 5183.0030
August 5286.2213 5286.2213 5286.2213