2018 XDR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

5508.9999 UGX

YEARLY LOW

5122.9037 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

5282.6884 UGX

2018 XDR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the XDR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 5508.9999. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 5122.9037.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 386.0962 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5234.2007 to the December average rate of 5166.8452, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.29% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5508.9999 was up 6.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 5182.5893, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,545,000 UGX

2017 Average 25,077,891 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 25,614,518 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,930,481.17 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5452.9744

5140.8335

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5321.8863, compared to 5243.4904 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 78.3959 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5321.8863

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5243.4904

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 300.2709 UGX (High: 5486.0742 / Low: 5185.8032). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 42.4371 UGX (High: 5377.4522 / Low: 5335.0151).

July Spread (Volatile) ±300.2709

April Spread (Stable) ±42.4371

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 150.1752 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -150.1752

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 5426.9627) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4964.6406), the exchange rate shifted by +462.3221 (+9.31%).

2018 Avg (June) 5426.9627

2017 Avg (June) 4964.6406

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	5290.6252	5174.7456	5234.2007
February	5314.2647	5250.1290	5286.9488
March	5366.0685	5260.0107	5310.0111
April	5377.4522	5335.0151	5359.7609
May	5347.7578	5295.4906	5313.4338
June	5508.9999	5348.1488	5426.9627
July	5486.0742	5185.8032	5276.7875
August	5284.2843	5160.9539	5218.3659
September	5368.6245	5272.7534	5330.2478
October	5352.3214	5206.6849	5270.6190
November	5241.7245	5150.0947	5198.0770
December	5198.7608	5122.9037	5166.8452