2014 XDR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4119.2466 UGX

YEARLY LOW

3778.9516 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

3944.3944 UGX

2014 XDR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the XDR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 4119.2466. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 6, dropping to 3778.9516.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 340.2950 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3840.3560 to the December average rate of 4026.1359, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4119.2466 was down 0.99% compared to the 2013 peak of 4160.6187, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,596,233 UGX

2013 Average 19,651,219 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 18,894,758 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,701,475.08 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4081.4689

3776.0500

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3892.8362, compared to 3995.9525 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 103.1164 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3892.8362

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3995.9525

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 133.4788 UGX (High: 3912.4304 / Low: 3778.9516). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 36.3295 UGX (High: 3927.8002 / Low: 3891.4707).

February Spread (Volatile) ±133.4788

May Spread (Stable) ±36.3295

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 72.6580 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -72.6580

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 4056.0174) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3892.0502), the exchange rate shifted by +163.9671 (+4.21%).

2014 Avg (July) 4056.0174

2013 Avg (July) 3892.0502

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3889.2125	3794.5611	3840.3560
February	3912.4304	3778.9516	3801.5015
March	3965.6772	3886.5713	3919.8717
April	3949.7537	3889.5905	3911.5142
May	3927.8002	3891.4707	3912.7708
June	4025.5525	3920.3223	3971.0029
July	4119.2466	3998.5752	4056.0174
August	4015.2061	3940.6389	3983.3594
September	3964.4878	3899.9250	3925.3176
October	4029.8080	3915.8740	3977.1769
November	4064.6605	3953.9105	4007.7082
December	4085.6963	3989.6076	4026.1359