2012 XDR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4137.9191 UGX

YEARLY LOW

3564.8736 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

3835.7290 UGX

2012 XDR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the XDR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 4137.9191. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 3564.8736.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 573.0455 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3702.1351 to the December average rate of 4112.1600, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 4137.9191 was down 9.05% compared to the 2011 peak of 4549.6341, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,689,595 UGX

2011 Average 19,933,959 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 17,824,368 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,865,227.59 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

4161.7084

3567.1280

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3760.8859, compared to 3910.5721 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 149.6862 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3760.8859

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3910.5721

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 233.2217 UGX (High: 3798.0952 / Low: 3564.8736). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 52.5901 UGX (High: 4137.9191 / Low: 4085.3290).

February Spread (Volatile) ±233.2217

December Spread (Stable) ±52.5901

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 85.4587 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -85.4587

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 4112.1600) against the same month in 2011 (average: 3790.1629), the exchange rate shifted by +321.9971 (+8.50%).

2012 Avg (December) 4112.1600

2011 Avg (December) 3790.1629

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3807.1778	3603.2473	3702.1351
February	3798.0952	3564.8736	3616.6763
March	3949.4152	3761.3177	3824.4608
April	3895.3456	3815.2247	3861.2858
May	3892.1783	3757.0354	3793.9637
June	3794.4437	3735.9500	3766.7935
July	3768.5532	3700.3914	3729.6357
August	3834.6246	3729.6104	3769.5631
September	3939.3753	3807.2143	3867.6696
October	4002.1931	3932.5611	3977.2553
November	4134.8440	3947.8258	4007.1487
December	4137.9191	4085.3290	4112.1600