YEARLY HIGH
8.1058 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.2953 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4696 MOP

2026 TMT to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the TMT to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 8.1058. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 16, dropping to 2.2953.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.8105 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.0291 to the December average rate of 2.3041, the exchange rate registered a net change of -71.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 8.1058 was down 0.59% compared to the 2025 peak of 8.1536, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TMT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,529 MOP
2025 Average 40,142 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 11,477 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,052.38 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

8.6335
1.7273
JanuMarcMayJuly

TMT to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9972, compared to 2.3041 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.6931 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9972
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3041

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 5.7976 MOP (High: 8.1001 / Low: 2.3025). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0070 MOP (High: 2.3059 / Low: 2.2988).

April Spread (Volatile) ±5.7976
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0070

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 4.9399 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.9399

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2026: 8.0465) against the same month in 2025 (average: 8.0187), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0278 (+0.35%).

2026 Avg (February) 8.0465
2025 Avg (February) 8.0187

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.0439 7.9701 8.0291
February 8.1058 8.0239 8.0465
March 8.0905 8.0115 8.0579
April 8.1001 2.3025 7.2427
May 2.3059 2.2988 2.3028
June 2.3101 2.2992 2.3040
July 2.3112 2.2953 2.3041