YEARLY HIGH
81.5619 DJF
YEARLY LOW
76.0002 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
78.9172 DJF

2016 TOP to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TOP to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 81.5619. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 76.0002.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.5618 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 78.7721 to the December average rate of 78.3571, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 81.5619 was down 10.13% compared to the 2015 peak of 90.7575, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 407,810 DJF
2015 Average 419,824 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 380,001 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,808.97 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

80.1371
77.8676
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 78.9134, compared to 78.9209 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0075 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 78.9134
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 78.9209

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 3.6864 DJF (High: 81.5619 / Low: 77.8755). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8752 DJF (High: 78.9558 / Low: 78.0805).

November Spread (Volatile) ±3.6864
August Spread (Stable) ±0.8752

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.1537 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1537

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 79.5108) against the same month in 2015 (average: 79.8638), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3530 (-0.44%).

2016 Avg (November) 79.5108
2015 Avg (November) 79.8638

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 79.5684 77.3815 78.7721
February 79.1594 76.0002 78.0567
March 79.5676 78.2595 78.8575
April 80.4538 79.1868 79.7229
May 79.8274 78.0140 78.8758
June 80.2298 77.8251 79.1956
July 79.1134 77.3723 78.2901
August 78.9558 78.0805 78.5314
September 79.4270 78.4089 78.8879
October 80.8077 78.7385 79.9480
November 81.5619 77.8755 79.5108
December 79.6342 76.3818 78.3571