YEARLY HIGH
81.1221 DJF
YEARLY LOW
76.2258 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
78.2739 DJF

2018 TOP to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TOP to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 81.1221. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 3, dropping to 76.2258.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8963 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 79.5320 to the December average rate of 78.1799, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 81.1221 was down 0.70% compared to the 2017 peak of 81.6973, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 405,610 DJF
2017 Average 394,694 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 381,129 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,481.40 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

80.5305
76.5455
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 79.2107, compared to 77.3370 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.8737 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 79.2107
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 77.3370

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 2.9760 DJF (High: 80.3584 / Low: 77.3824). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0216 DJF (High: 77.0600 / Low: 77.0383).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.9760
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0216

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.0995 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0995

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 80.1984) against the same month in 2017 (average: 79.1838), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0146 (+1.28%).

2018 Avg (February) 80.1984
2017 Avg (February) 79.1838

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 80.6693 78.7052 79.5320
February 81.1221 79.2866 80.1984
March 80.1092 79.0779 79.6367
April 80.0753 78.4819 79.5461
May 80.3584 77.3824 78.4466
June 78.3844 77.1886 77.9045
July 77.2138 76.2258 76.8776
August 77.0600 77.0383 77.0551
September 77.2764 77.0383 77.0758
October 77.4088 77.0600 77.2368
November 77.7403 77.2871 77.5969
December 79.0613 77.6299 78.1799