YEARLY HIGH
10.9843 HNL
YEARLY LOW
10.3844 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.6404 HNL

2021 TOP to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TOP to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 10.9843. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 22, dropping to 10.3844.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5998 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.6289 to the December average rate of 10.6286, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 10.9843 was down 0.87% compared to the 2020 peak of 11.0806, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,921 HNL
2020 Average 53,740 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 51,922 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,999.22 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

10.7876
10.4816
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.6419, compared to 10.6389 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0031 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.6419
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.6389

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.5074 HNL (High: 10.9843 / Low: 10.4769). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1394 HNL (High: 10.6222 / Low: 10.4828).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5074
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1394

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1873 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1873

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 10.6289) against the same month in 2020 (average: 10.7919), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1630 (-1.51%).

2021 Avg (January) 10.6289
2020 Avg (January) 10.7919

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.9843 10.4769 10.6289
February 10.6222 10.4828 10.5612
March 10.7426 10.5205 10.6176
April 10.6825 10.4887 10.5820
May 10.7865 10.5730 10.6996
June 10.8607 10.6215 10.7621
July 10.6622 10.4818 10.5747
August 10.6208 10.3844 10.5071
September 10.7688 10.5901 10.6998
October 10.8203 10.6229 10.7225
November 10.8150 10.5711 10.7005
December 10.7361 10.5261 10.6286