YEARLY HIGH
127.1419 HUF
YEARLY LOW
110.8694 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
118.8657 HUF

2018 TOP to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TOP to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 127.1419. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 110.8694.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 16.2725 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 112.7585 to the December average rate of 124.5518, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 127.1419 was down 2.98% compared to the 2017 peak of 131.0486, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 635,710 HUF
2017 Average 604,964 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 554,347 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 81,362.49 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

125.7311
111.5791
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 115.7081, compared to 122.0234 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.3154 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 115.7081
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 122.0234

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 5.2557 HUF (High: 121.0308 / Low: 115.7750). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.1584 HUF (High: 115.2480 / Low: 113.0896).

May Spread (Volatile) ±5.2557
March Spread (Stable) ±2.1584

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.1008 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1008

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 124.5518) against the same month in 2017 (average: 115.5148), the exchange rate shifted by +9.0370 (+7.82%).

2018 Avg (December) 124.5518
2017 Avg (December) 115.5148

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 114.9645 110.8694 112.7585
February 116.0856 111.8380 114.0283
March 115.2480 113.0896 113.8913
April 116.7396 112.7369 114.2285
May 121.0308 115.7750 118.3507
June 123.3978 118.5025 120.9910
July 122.8754 118.1936 119.8903
August 123.8552 119.0840 121.1197
September 122.4117 118.8917 120.6663
October 124.6135 120.5737 122.3451
November 125.2637 122.3635 123.5676
December 127.1419 122.8682 124.5518