YEARLY HIGH
4.2678 MAD
YEARLY LOW
4.0450 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1307 MAD

2018 TOP to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TOP to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 4.2678. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 22, dropping to 4.0450.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2227 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1178 to the December average rate of 4.1890, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.2678 was down 5.38% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.5104, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,339 MAD
2017 Average 21,418 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 20,225 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,113.71 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.2008
4.0593
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1429, compared to 4.1184 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0245 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1429
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1184

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.1452 MAD (High: 4.2440 / Low: 4.0989). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0470 MAD (High: 4.0921 / Low: 4.0450).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1452
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0470

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0699 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0699

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 4.1890) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.1182), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0708 (+1.72%).

2018 Avg (December) 4.1890
2017 Avg (December) 4.1182

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1578 4.0749 4.1178
February 4.1764 4.0957 4.1509
March 4.1595 4.0947 4.1308
April 4.1954 4.1079 4.1428
May 4.2440 4.0989 4.1596
June 4.2005 4.1120 4.1556
July 4.1174 4.0554 4.0858
August 4.1447 4.0602 4.1042
September 4.0921 4.0450 4.0711
October 4.1554 4.0847 4.1144
November 4.1821 4.1275 4.1461
December 4.2678 4.1386 4.1890