YEARLY HIGH
4.4876 MAD
YEARLY LOW
4.0774 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2866 MAD

2023 TOP to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the TOP to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 4.4876. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 5, dropping to 4.0774.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4102 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3925 to the December average rate of 4.2730, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 4.4876 was down 1.70% compared to the 2022 peak of 4.5651, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,438 MAD
2022 Average 21,781 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 20,387 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,051.20 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

4.4334
4.1210
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3382, compared to 4.2350 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1032 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3382
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2350

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 0.1769 MAD (High: 4.2543 / Low: 4.0774). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0583 MAD (High: 4.2954 / Low: 4.2371).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1769
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0583

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1144 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1144

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 4.3925) against the same month in 2022 (average: 4.0826), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3099 (+7.59%).

2023 Avg (January) 4.3925
2022 Avg (January) 4.0826

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4876 4.3251 4.3925
February 4.4377 4.3749 4.4074
March 4.4268 4.3267 4.3789
April 4.3641 4.1905 4.3043
May 4.3461 4.2398 4.2844
June 4.3150 4.1777 4.2615
July 4.1824 4.0920 4.1471
August 4.2543 4.0774 4.1631
September 4.3180 4.2368 4.2791
October 4.3358 4.2604 4.2852
November 4.2954 4.2371 4.2625
December 4.3140 4.2198 4.2730