YEARLY HIGH
13.0630 RUB
YEARLY LOW
10.4133 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
11.4109 RUB

2019 TRY to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TRY to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 13.0630. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 10.4133.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.6497 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.4502 to the December average rate of 10.7335, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 13.0630 was down 15.80% compared to the 2018 peak of 15.5141, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 653,152 RUB
2018 Average 661,848 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 520,666 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 132,486.67 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

12.6468
10.5596
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.6309, compared to 11.1909 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4401 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.6309
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.1909

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 1.0497 RUB (High: 12.2677 / Low: 11.2180). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1701 RUB (High: 11.2017 / Low: 11.0317).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.0497
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1701

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.7156 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7156

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 12.4502) against the same month in 2018 (average: 15.0252), the exchange rate shifted by -2.5751 (-17.14%).

2019 Avg (January) 12.4502
2018 Avg (January) 15.0252

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.0630 12.1763 12.4502
February 12.6310 12.2906 12.4729
March 12.2677 11.2180 11.9015
April 11.8282 10.8264 11.1859
May 11.2115 10.5142 10.7499
June 11.4144 10.7823 11.0252
July 11.4271 10.9749 11.1553
August 11.9312 11.3627 11.6653
September 11.6889 11.1442 11.3684
October 11.4412 10.8409 11.1000
November 11.2017 11.0317 11.1227
December 11.1851 10.4133 10.7335