YEARLY HIGH
10.6316 RUB
YEARLY LOW
4.4466 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.5533 RUB

2021 TRY to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TRY to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 19, valuing the pair at 10.6316. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 4.4466.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.1849 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.0665 to the December average rate of 5.5582, the exchange rate registered a net change of -44.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 10.6316 was down 14.97% compared to the 2020 peak of 12.5027, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 531,578 RUB
2020 Average 516,884 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 222,332 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 309,246.48 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

10.9584
5.0673
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.4585, compared to 7.6482 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.8103 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.4585
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.6482

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 2.4408 RUB (High: 6.8874 / Low: 4.4466). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2774 RUB (High: 8.7006 / Low: 8.4231).

December Spread (Volatile) ±2.4408
July Spread (Stable) ±0.2774

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.2583 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2583

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2021: 10.4675) against the same month in 2020 (average: 10.5807), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1132 (-1.07%).

2021 Avg (February) 10.4675
2020 Avg (February) 10.5807

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.4166 9.8327 10.0665
February 10.6316 10.0414 10.4675
March 10.2854 9.1123 9.6980
April 9.4842 8.9018 9.2994
May 9.0839 8.5362 8.8153
June 8.5950 8.2377 8.4040
July 8.7006 8.4231 8.6021
August 8.8595 8.4653 8.6756
September 8.8117 8.1668 8.5090
October 8.2167 7.2327 7.7275
November 7.5033 5.4873 6.8165
December 6.8874 4.4466 5.5582