2016 TTD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

15.9882 KES

YEARLY LOW

15.0854 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

15.3117 KES

2016 TTD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TTD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 15.9882. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 18, dropping to 15.0854.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9028 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.9300 to the December average rate of 15.1852, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 15.9882 was down 4.34% compared to the 2015 peak of 16.7130, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TTD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 79,941 KES

2015 Average 77,282 KES

Yearly Trough Low 75,427 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,513.77 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

16.0110

15.0394

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TTD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.4745, compared to 15.1489 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3256 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.4745

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.1489

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.2772 KES (High: 15.9014 / Low: 15.6243). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0603 KES (High: 15.1677 / Low: 15.1075).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2772

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0603

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2746 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2746

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 15.9300) against the same month in 2015 (average: 14.3672), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5629 (+10.88%).

2016 Avg (January) 15.9300

2015 Avg (January) 14.3672

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	15.9882	15.8231	15.9300
February	15.9014	15.6243	15.7351
March	15.5961	15.3565	15.4605
April	15.4567	15.2020	15.3459
May	15.2366	15.1176	15.1584
June	15.2561	15.1498	15.2174
July	15.2176	15.0938	15.1804
August	15.1677	15.1075	15.1442
September	15.1508	15.0854	15.1204
October	15.1878	15.1044	15.1336
November	15.1981	15.0877	15.1296
December	15.2814	15.0912	15.1852