YEARLY HIGH
4.1890 ALL
YEARLY LOW
3.7136 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9759 ALL

2018 UAH to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UAH to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 29, valuing the pair at 4.1890. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 3.7136.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4754 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8443 to the December average rate of 3.9113, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.1890 was down 13.74% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.8562, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,945 ALL
2017 Average 22,365 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 18,568 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,377.07 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.1455
3.8169
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0160, compared to 3.9359 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0802 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0160
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9359

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2488 ALL (High: 3.9624 / Low: 3.7136). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0517 ALL (High: 3.9131 / Low: 3.8615).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2488
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0517

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1283 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1283

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 4.1017) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.6070), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5053 (-10.97%).

2018 Avg (May) 4.1017
2017 Avg (May) 4.6070

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.9624 3.7136 3.8443
February 4.0380 3.8367 3.9599
March 4.1249 3.9909 4.0448
April 4.0583 3.9883 4.0273
May 4.1890 4.0365 4.1017
June 4.1858 4.0258 4.1181
July 4.1316 4.0063 4.0873
August 4.0500 3.8257 3.9589
September 3.8937 3.8164 3.8514
October 3.9131 3.8615 3.8800
November 3.9684 3.8495 3.9264
December 3.9458 3.8764 3.9113