2016 UAH to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8800 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.7323 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7788 MDL

2016 UAH to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UAH to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 0.8800. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.7323.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1478 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8364 to the December average rate of 0.7658, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8800 was down 21.84% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.1259, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,400 MDL

2015 Average 4,344 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 3,661 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 738.76 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8448

0.7437

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7825, compared to 0.7751 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0074 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7825

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7751

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0831 MDL (High: 0.8800 / Low: 0.7969). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0059 MDL (High: 0.7994 / Low: 0.7935).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0831

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0059

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0777 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0777

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.8364) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.0514), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2151 (-20.46%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.8364

2015 Avg (January) 1.0514

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8800	0.7969	0.8364
February	0.7940	0.7339	0.7586
March	0.7843	0.7372	0.7533
April	0.7842	0.7464	0.7685
May	0.7969	0.7710	0.7851
June	0.7972	0.7898	0.7930
July	0.7994	0.7935	0.7965
August	0.7955	0.7559	0.7844
September	0.7663	0.7369	0.7521
October	0.7873	0.7606	0.7722
November	0.7923	0.7679	0.7797
December	0.7890	0.7323	0.7658