YEARLY HIGH
0.6513 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.5780 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6183 MDL

2018 UAH to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UAH to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 0.6513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 0.5780.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0733 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5952 to the December average rate of 0.6190, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6513 was down 14.82% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.7646, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,256 MDL
2017 Average 3,468 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 2,890 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 366.55 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6478
0.5904
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6247, compared to 0.6119 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0128 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6247
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6119

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0330 MDL (High: 0.6110 / Low: 0.5780). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0114 MDL (High: 0.6102 / Low: 0.5988).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0330
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0114

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0291 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0291

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 0.6370) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.7026), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0655 (-9.33%).

2018 Avg (May) 0.6370
2017 Avg (May) 0.7026

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6110 0.5780 0.5952
February 0.6241 0.5992 0.6143
March 0.6382 0.6174 0.6300
April 0.6351 0.6216 0.6287
May 0.6513 0.6304 0.6370
June 0.6501 0.6361 0.6430
July 0.6445 0.6186 0.6335
August 0.6160 0.5931 0.6044
September 0.6011 0.5852 0.5961
October 0.6102 0.5988 0.6055
November 0.6229 0.6053 0.6128
December 0.6272 0.6056 0.6190