YEARLY HIGH
4.5966 NPR
YEARLY LOW
3.9764 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2083 NPR

2016 UAH to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UAH to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 4.5966. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 7, dropping to 3.9764.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6202 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4289 to the December average rate of 4.1317, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.5966 was down 28.66% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.4429, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,983 NPR
2015 Average 23,839 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 19,882 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,101.12 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.4648
4.0338
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2263, compared to 4.1903 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0360 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2263
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1903

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.3583 NPR (High: 4.5966 / Low: 4.2384). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0442 NPR (High: 4.3442 / Low: 4.3000).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3583
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0442

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3041 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 4.4289) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.2970), the exchange rate shifted by -1.8681 (-29.67%).

2016 Avg (January) 4.4289
2015 Avg (January) 6.2970

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5966 4.2384 4.4289
February 4.2431 4.0221 4.1248
March 4.2355 4.0026 4.0811
April 4.2223 4.0544 4.1613
May 4.3058 4.1836 4.2434
June 4.3695 4.2686 4.3182
July 4.3442 4.3000 4.3305
August 4.3147 4.1067 4.2585
September 4.1581 3.9764 4.0697
October 4.1954 4.1064 4.1491
November 4.2917 4.1288 4.2024
December 4.2689 4.0005 4.1317