YEARLY HIGH
4.2420 NPR
YEARLY LOW
3.5126 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0232 NPR

2018 UAH to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UAH to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 4.2420. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 3.5126.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7294 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5746 to the December average rate of 4.0744, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.98% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.2420 was up 2.78% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.1272, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,210 NPR
2017 Average 19,585 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 17,563 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,646.78 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.2539
3.5129
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9328, compared to 4.1136 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1809 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9328
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1136

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.2229 NPR (High: 4.1772 / Low: 3.9543). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0737 NPR (High: 4.0826 / Low: 4.0089).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2229
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0737

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1214 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1214

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 4.1921) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.9067), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2854 (+7.31%).

2018 Avg (October) 4.1921
2017 Avg (October) 3.9067

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6618 3.5126 3.5746
February 3.8694 3.6661 3.7946
March 4.0115 3.8689 3.9556
April 4.0965 3.9318 4.0158
May 4.1821 4.0494 4.1235
June 4.1788 4.0963 4.1324
July 4.2044 4.0865 4.1654
August 4.0826 4.0089 4.0440
September 4.1410 4.0017 4.0891
October 4.2420 4.1260 4.1921
November 4.1772 3.9543 4.1169
December 4.1552 3.9529 4.0744