2011 UGX to AFN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0196 AFN

YEARLY LOW

0.0151 AFN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0176 AFN

2011 UGX to AFN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to AFN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 0.0196. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 25, dropping to 0.0151.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0046 AFN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0185 to the December average rate of 0.0190, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0196 was down 23.00% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0255, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 98 AFN

2010 Average 104 AFN

Yearly Trough Low 75 AFN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 22.82 AFN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0193

0.0153

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to AFN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0181, compared to 0.0171 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0181

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0171

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0021 AFN (High: 0.0181 / Low: 0.0161). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 AFN (High: 0.0181 / Low: 0.0179).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0021

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0010 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0010

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 0.0190) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0187), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0003 (+1.52%).

2011 Avg (December) 0.0190

2010 Avg (December) 0.0187

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0188	0.0180	0.0185
February	0.0186	0.0180	0.0183
March	0.0181	0.0177	0.0179
April	0.0185	0.0180	0.0181
May	0.0181	0.0179	0.0180
June	0.0181	0.0161	0.0176
July	0.0169	0.0165	0.0166
August	0.0165	0.0152	0.0156
September	0.0170	0.0151	0.0156
October	0.0187	0.0168	0.0173
November	0.0193	0.0176	0.0187
December	0.0196	0.0182	0.0190