2016 UGX to AFN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0208 AFN

YEARLY LOW

0.0182 AFN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0199 AFN

2016 UGX to AFN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to AFN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 15, valuing the pair at 0.0208. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.0182.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0026 AFN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0199 to the December average rate of 0.0185, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0208 was down 1.07% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0210, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 104 AFN

2015 Average 95 AFN

Yearly Trough Low 91 AFN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12.89 AFN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0207

0.0182

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to AFN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0203, compared to 0.0194 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0203

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0194

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 0.0009 AFN (High: 0.0203 / Low: 0.0194). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 AFN (High: 0.0204 / Low: 0.0201).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0009

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0006 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.0205) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0186), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0019 (+10.16%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.0205

2015 Avg (June) 0.0186

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0203	0.0197	0.0199
February	0.0205	0.0197	0.0201
March	0.0206	0.0202	0.0204
April	0.0207	0.0204	0.0205
May	0.0206	0.0203	0.0205
June	0.0208	0.0200	0.0205
July	0.0204	0.0201	0.0203
August	0.0203	0.0194	0.0200
September	0.0200	0.0194	0.0197
October	0.0195	0.0190	0.0192
November	0.0191	0.0184	0.0186
December	0.0187	0.0182	0.0185