2016 UGX to ARS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0047 ARS

YEARLY LOW

0.0038 ARS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0043 ARS

2016 UGX to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 1, valuing the pair at 0.0047. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 17, dropping to 0.0038.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0009 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0039 to the December average rate of 0.0044, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0047 was up 20.10% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0039, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24 ARS

2015 Average 14 ARS

Yearly Trough Low 19 ARS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4.42 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0045

0.0039

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0042, compared to 0.0044 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0042

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0044

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0006 ARS (High: 0.0047 / Low: 0.0041). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 ARS (High: 0.0045 / Low: 0.0043).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0006

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 0.0044) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0030), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0015 (+48.78%).

2016 Avg (March) 0.0044

2015 Avg (March) 0.0030

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0041	0.0038	0.0039
February	0.0047	0.0041	0.0043
March	0.0047	0.0043	0.0044
April	0.0044	0.0042	0.0043
May	0.0043	0.0041	0.0042
June	0.0045	0.0041	0.0042
July	0.0045	0.0043	0.0044
August	0.0045	0.0043	0.0044
September	0.0045	0.0044	0.0045
October	0.0045	0.0044	0.0044
November	0.0044	0.0043	0.0043
December	0.0045	0.0043	0.0044