2018 UGX to ARS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0108 ARS

YEARLY LOW

0.0051 ARS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0075 ARS

2018 UGX to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 30, valuing the pair at 0.0108. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 0.0051.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0057 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0052 to the December average rate of 0.0102, the exchange rate registered a net change of 94.94% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0108 was up 104.39% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0053, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54 ARS

2017 Average 23 ARS

Yearly Trough Low 25 ARS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 28.68 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0107

0.0047

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0058, compared to 0.0092 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0034 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0058

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0092

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0030 ARS (High: 0.0103 / Low: 0.0073). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 ARS (High: 0.0055 / Low: 0.0055).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0030

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.0101) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0048), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0054 (+112.59%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.0101

2017 Avg (September) 0.0048

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0054	0.0051	0.0052
February	0.0055	0.0053	0.0054
March	0.0056	0.0055	0.0055
April	0.0055	0.0055	0.0055
May	0.0067	0.0056	0.0063
June	0.0075	0.0066	0.0069
July	0.0074	0.0072	0.0074
August	0.0103	0.0073	0.0080
September	0.0108	0.0097	0.0101
October	0.0103	0.0095	0.0098
November	0.0105	0.0094	0.0097
December	0.0104	0.0098	0.0102