2013 UGX to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0262 BTN

YEARLY LOW

0.0199 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0227 BTN

2013 UGX to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the UGX to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 28, valuing the pair at 0.0262. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 4, dropping to 0.0199.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0063 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0202 to the December average rate of 0.0246, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.0262 was up 13.36% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.0231, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 131 BTN

2012 Average 105 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 100 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 31.53 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.0253

0.0198

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0210, compared to 0.0243 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0033 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0210

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0243

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 0.0029 BTN (High: 0.0262 / Low: 0.0234). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 BTN (High: 0.0245 / Low: 0.0240).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0029

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0006 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2013: 0.0243) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.0206), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0037 (+17.80%).

2013 Avg (August) 0.0243

2012 Avg (August) 0.0206

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0205	0.0200	0.0202
February	0.0205	0.0199	0.0202
March	0.0210	0.0204	0.0207
April	0.0216	0.0208	0.0211
May	0.0217	0.0208	0.0212
June	0.0232	0.0218	0.0224
July	0.0234	0.0228	0.0231
August	0.0262	0.0234	0.0243
September	0.0261	0.0242	0.0248
October	0.0245	0.0240	0.0243
November	0.0252	0.0245	0.0248
December	0.0248	0.0242	0.0246