2016 UGX to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0205 BTN

YEARLY LOW

0.0187 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0197 BTN

2016 UGX to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 27, valuing the pair at 0.0205. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 0.0187.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0018 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0195 to the December average rate of 0.0188, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0205 was down 10.11% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0228, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 102 BTN

2015 Average 100 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 94 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8.85 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0201

0.0187

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0199, compared to 0.0195 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0199

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0195

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0009 BTN (High: 0.0205 / Low: 0.0195). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 BTN (High: 0.0200 / Low: 0.0198).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0009

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0005 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0005

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.0199) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0216), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0017 (-7.86%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.0199

2015 Avg (February) 0.0216

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0197	0.0193	0.0195
February	0.0205	0.0195	0.0199
March	0.0203	0.0197	0.0199
April	0.0201	0.0197	0.0199
May	0.0201	0.0199	0.0200
June	0.0201	0.0198	0.0200
July	0.0200	0.0198	0.0199
August	0.0199	0.0198	0.0198
September	0.0198	0.0196	0.0197
October	0.0197	0.0193	0.0195
November	0.0193	0.0189	0.0190
December	0.0191	0.0187	0.0188