2011 UGX to CVE Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0365 CVE

YEARLY LOW

0.0270 CVE

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0316 CVE

2011 UGX to CVE Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to CVE exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.0365. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 29, dropping to 0.0270.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0095 CVE. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0354 to the December average rate of 0.0342, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0365 was down 11.77% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0414, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 183 CVE

2010 Average 191 CVE

Yearly Trough Low 135 CVE

Transaction Impact: A difference of 47.57 CVE purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0362

0.0272

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to CVE Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0331, compared to 0.0301 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0331

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0301

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.0038 CVE (High: 0.0359 / Low: 0.0320). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 CVE (High: 0.0305 / Low: 0.0293).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0038

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0019 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0019

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.0354) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0400), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0045 (-11.36%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.0354

2010 Avg (January) 0.0400

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0365	0.0345	0.0354
February	0.0350	0.0338	0.0344
March	0.0337	0.0322	0.0329
April	0.0327	0.0312	0.0322
May	0.0330	0.0311	0.0321
June	0.0321	0.0286	0.0313
July	0.0305	0.0293	0.0298
August	0.0294	0.0270	0.0279
September	0.0291	0.0274	0.0284
October	0.0305	0.0278	0.0287
November	0.0327	0.0304	0.0316
December	0.0359	0.0320	0.0342