YEARLY HIGH
0.0273 CVE
YEARLY LOW
0.0251 CVE
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0257 CVE

2026 UGX to CVE Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the UGX to CVE exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.0273. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 29, dropping to 0.0251.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0022 CVE. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0264 to the December average rate of 0.0253, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.0273 was down 6.75% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.0293, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 136 CVE
2025 Average 136 CVE
Yearly Trough Low 126 CVE
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10.90 CVE purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.0265
0.0250
JanuFebrMarcApriMayJune

UGX to CVE Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0257, compared to 0.0000 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0257 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0257
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0000

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.0016 CVE (High: 0.0273 / Low: 0.0257). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 CVE (High: 0.0253 / Low: 0.0251).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0016
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0006 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.0264) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.0289), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0025 (-8.78%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.0264
2025 Avg (January) 0.0289

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0273 0.0257 0.0264
February 0.0264 0.0258 0.0262
March 0.0259 0.0252 0.0256
April 0.0257 0.0252 0.0254
May 0.0253 0.0251 0.0251
June 0.0255 0.0251 0.0253