YEARLY HIGH
0.0055 EGP
YEARLY LOW
0.0022 EGP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0029 EGP

2016 UGX to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 0.0055. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 0.0022.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0033 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0023 to the December average rate of 0.0051, the exchange rate registered a net change of 124.94% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0055 was up 106.63% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0027, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28 EGP
2015 Average 12 EGP
Yearly Trough Low 11 EGP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16.29 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0054
0.0020
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0025, compared to 0.0033 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0025
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0033

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0025 EGP (High: 0.0051 / Low: 0.0025). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 EGP (High: 0.0026 / Low: 0.0026).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0025
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0000 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.0051) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0023), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0028 (+119.48%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.0051
2015 Avg (December) 0.0023

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0023 0.0022 0.0023
February 0.0023 0.0023 0.0023
March 0.0027 0.0023 0.0025
April 0.0027 0.0026 0.0027
May 0.0027 0.0026 0.0027
June 0.0027 0.0026 0.0026
July 0.0026 0.0026 0.0026
August 0.0026 0.0026 0.0026
September 0.0026 0.0026 0.0026
October 0.0026 0.0026 0.0026
November 0.0051 0.0025 0.0044
December 0.0055 0.0049 0.0051