YEARLY HIGH
0.0049 EGP
YEARLY LOW
0.0046 EGP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0048 EGP

2018 UGX to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.0049. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 0.0046.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0003 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0049 to the December average rate of 0.0048, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0049 was down 7.86% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0053, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24 EGP
2017 Average 25 EGP
Yearly Trough Low 23 EGP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1.58 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0049
0.0046
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0048, compared to 0.0048 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0000 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0048
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0048

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0003 EGP (High: 0.0049 / Low: 0.0046). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 EGP (High: 0.0049 / Low: 0.0048).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0003
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0049) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0052), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0003 (-5.61%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0049
2017 Avg (January) 0.0052

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0049 0.0048 0.0049
February 0.0049 0.0048 0.0049
March 0.0048 0.0048 0.0048
April 0.0048 0.0048 0.0048
May 0.0048 0.0047 0.0048
June 0.0047 0.0046 0.0047
July 0.0049 0.0046 0.0048
August 0.0048 0.0047 0.0048
September 0.0048 0.0047 0.0047
October 0.0048 0.0047 0.0047
November 0.0048 0.0048 0.0048
December 0.0049 0.0048 0.0048