2016 UGX to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0066 ETB

YEARLY LOW

0.0061 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0064 ETB

2016 UGX to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 0.0066. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 0.0061.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0005 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0062 to the December average rate of 0.0062, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0066 was down 10.00% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0073, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33 ETB

2015 Average 32 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 31 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2.32 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0066

0.0061

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0064, compared to 0.0064 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0064

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0064

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0003 ETB (High: 0.0064 / Low: 0.0061). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 ETB (High: 0.0066 / Low: 0.0065).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0003

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2016: 0.0065) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0058), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0007 (+12.31%).

2016 Avg (October) 0.0065

2015 Avg (October) 0.0058

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0063	0.0061	0.0062
February	0.0064	0.0061	0.0062
March	0.0064	0.0063	0.0064
April	0.0065	0.0064	0.0065
May	0.0065	0.0064	0.0065
June	0.0065	0.0064	0.0065
July	0.0065	0.0064	0.0065
August	0.0066	0.0065	0.0065
September	0.0066	0.0065	0.0065
October	0.0066	0.0064	0.0065
November	0.0064	0.0061	0.0063
December	0.0063	0.0061	0.0062