YEARLY HIGH
0.0077 ETB
YEARLY LOW
0.0071 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0074 ETB

2018 UGX to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 0.0077. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 0.0071.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0006 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0075 to the December average rate of 0.0076, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.66% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0077 was up 1.23% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0076, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38 ETB
2017 Average 33 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 35 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3.16 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0076
0.0071
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0074, compared to 0.0074 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0000 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0074
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0074

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0004 ETB (High: 0.0075 / Low: 0.0071). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 ETB (High: 0.0075 / Low: 0.0074).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0004
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.0076) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0075), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0001 (+0.67%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.0076
2017 Avg (December) 0.0075

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0076 0.0075 0.0075
February 0.0076 0.0075 0.0076
March 0.0076 0.0074 0.0075
April 0.0075 0.0074 0.0074
May 0.0074 0.0073 0.0074
June 0.0073 0.0071 0.0072
July 0.0075 0.0071 0.0073
August 0.0075 0.0073 0.0074
September 0.0073 0.0072 0.0073
October 0.0075 0.0073 0.0074
November 0.0075 0.0074 0.0075
December 0.0077 0.0075 0.0076