YEARLY HIGH
4.9359 IDR
YEARLY LOW
4.3474 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5711 IDR

2014 UGX to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 4.9359. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 12, dropping to 4.3474.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5886 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8448 to the December average rate of 4.4984, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.9359 was up 1.07% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.8839, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,680 IDR
2013 Average 20,212 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 21,737 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,942.86 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.8857
4.3954
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6476, compared to 4.4945 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1531 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6476
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4945

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 0.3384 IDR (High: 4.9359 / Low: 4.5975). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0421 IDR (High: 4.5128 / Low: 4.4707).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.3384
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0421

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3142 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3142

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 4.8272) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3.6413), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1859 (+32.57%).

2014 Avg (February) 4.8272
2013 Avg (February) 3.6413

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.9276 4.7607 4.8448
February 4.9359 4.5975 4.8272
March 4.6093 4.4395 4.5130
April 4.6284 4.4152 4.5250
May 4.5875 4.4884 4.5585
June 4.6543 4.5819 4.6172
July 4.5644 4.3474 4.4362
August 4.5128 4.4707 4.4911
September 4.5951 4.4821 4.5459
October 4.6077 4.4610 4.5417
November 4.5167 4.3972 4.4539
December 4.6005 4.4173 4.4984