YEARLY HIGH
4.0673 IDR
YEARLY LOW
3.5934 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8010 IDR

2018 UGX to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 28, valuing the pair at 4.0673. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 3.5934.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4739 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6846 to the December average rate of 3.9090, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.09% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.0673 was up 7.80% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.7729, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,336 IDR
2017 Average 18,499 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 17,967 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,369.51 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.0576
3.6061
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7208, compared to 3.8813 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1605 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7208
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8813

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.2544 IDR (High: 4.0673 / Low: 3.8129). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0268 IDR (High: 3.7512 / Low: 3.7244).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2544
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0268

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1224 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1224

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 4.0200) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.7155), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3045 (+8.19%).

2018 Avg (October) 4.0200
2017 Avg (October) 3.7155

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7328 3.6616 3.6846
February 3.7651 3.6954 3.7319
March 3.7797 3.7274 3.7644
April 3.7512 3.7244 3.7339
May 3.8109 3.6848 3.7661
June 3.6775 3.5934 3.6438
July 3.8753 3.6434 3.8017
August 3.8840 3.8062 3.8427
September 3.8283 3.7658 3.7891
October 4.0673 3.8129 4.0200
November 4.0459 3.8488 3.9252
December 3.9486 3.8211 3.9090