YEARLY HIGH
5.1029 IRR
YEARLY LOW
4.4689 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8219 IRR

2012 UGX to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 17, valuing the pair at 5.1029. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 4.4689.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6340 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6654 to the December average rate of 4.5989, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 5.1029 was up 5.73% compared to the 2011 peak of 4.8263, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,514 IRR
2011 Average 20,935 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 22,345 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,169.76 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

5.0279
4.5599
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8418, compared to 4.8019 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0399 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8418
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8019

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.3941 IRR (High: 4.8630 / Low: 4.4689). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0394 IRR (High: 4.9823 / Low: 4.9429).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3941
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0394

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2293 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2293

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 4.9889) against the same month in 2011 (average: 4.4112), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5777 (+13.10%).

2012 Avg (February) 4.9889
2011 Avg (February) 4.4112

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8630 4.4689 4.6654
February 5.1029 4.8238 4.9889
March 4.8252 4.6100 4.7595
April 4.9006 4.6926 4.7497
May 5.0054 4.8915 4.9507
June 4.9801 4.8854 4.9367
July 4.9823 4.9429 4.9631
August 4.9525 4.8679 4.9239
September 4.9106 4.8106 4.8714
October 4.8040 4.7186 4.7604
November 4.7823 4.5557 4.6935
December 4.6300 4.5671 4.5989