YEARLY HIGH
9.1413 IRR
YEARLY LOW
8.2836 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.8266 IRR

2016 UGX to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 24, valuing the pair at 9.1413. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 8.2836.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8577 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.7088 to the December average rate of 8.3526, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 9.1413 was down 6.42% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.7685, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,707 IRR
2015 Average 44,932 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 41,418 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,288.59 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

9.1232
8.2826
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.9362, compared to 8.7170 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2192 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.9362
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.7170

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.3941 IRR (High: 8.6842 / Low: 8.2901). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0368 IRR (High: 8.9320 / Low: 8.8952).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3941
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0368

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3169 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3169

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 9.0478) against the same month in 2015 (average: 9.4002), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3524 (-3.75%).

2016 Avg (April) 9.0478
2015 Avg (April) 9.4002

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.8773 8.6169 8.7088
February 9.0034 8.6237 8.8035
March 9.0434 8.9491 8.9916
April 9.1413 8.9668 9.0478
May 9.1211 8.9437 9.0531
June 9.0615 8.8375 9.0124
July 8.9624 8.8617 8.9191
August 8.9320 8.8952 8.9174
September 8.9287 8.8787 8.8960
October 8.8992 8.6861 8.7668
November 8.6842 8.2901 8.4500
December 8.4649 8.2836 8.3526