2011 UGX to JMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0379 JMD

YEARLY LOW

0.0297 JMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0342 JMD

2011 UGX to JMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to JMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 0.0379. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 25, dropping to 0.0297.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0082 JMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0373 to the December average rate of 0.0352, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0379 was down 18.30% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0464, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 189 JMD

2010 Average 202 JMD

Yearly Trough Low 148 JMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 40.87 JMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0380

0.0297

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to JMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0362, compared to 0.0323 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0362

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0323

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0038 JMD (High: 0.0357 / Low: 0.0319). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 JMD (High: 0.0358 / Low: 0.0354).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0038

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0019 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0019

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.0373) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0458), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0085 (-18.51%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.0373

2010 Avg (January) 0.0458

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0379	0.0362	0.0373
February	0.0377	0.0363	0.0370
March	0.0368	0.0359	0.0363
April	0.0366	0.0358	0.0360
May	0.0358	0.0354	0.0356
June	0.0357	0.0319	0.0348
July	0.0336	0.0325	0.0330
August	0.0327	0.0303	0.0310
September	0.0308	0.0297	0.0304
October	0.0333	0.0298	0.0307
November	0.0344	0.0326	0.0333
December	0.0365	0.0337	0.0352