YEARLY HIGH
0.0413 JMD
YEARLY LOW
0.0320 JMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0363 JMD

2015 UGX to JMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to JMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 0.0413. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 2, dropping to 0.0320.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0093 JMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0403 to the December average rate of 0.0356, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.0413 was down 5.94% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0439, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 206 JMD
2014 Average 214 JMD
Yearly Trough Low 160 JMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 46.28 JMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.0411
0.0315
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to JMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0388, compared to 0.0339 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0049 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0388
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0339

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.0027 JMD (High: 0.0356 / Low: 0.0329). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 JMD (High: 0.0385 / Low: 0.0381).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0027
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0021 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.0403) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0425), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0022 (-5.23%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.0403
2014 Avg (January) 0.0425

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0413 0.0396 0.0403
February 0.0405 0.0399 0.0402
March 0.0399 0.0382 0.0391
April 0.0385 0.0381 0.0383
May 0.0387 0.0379 0.0384
June 0.0378 0.0352 0.0364
July 0.0356 0.0329 0.0347
August 0.0338 0.0322 0.0330
September 0.0324 0.0320 0.0323
October 0.0338 0.0321 0.0327
November 0.0356 0.0336 0.0349
December 0.0361 0.0348 0.0356