2016 UGX to LKR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0442 LKR

YEARLY LOW

0.0409 LKR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0428 LKR

2016 UGX to LKR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to LKR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 21, valuing the pair at 0.0442. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 0.0409.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0033 LKR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0418 to the December average rate of 0.0414, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0442 was down 6.65% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0473, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 221 LKR

2015 Average 211 LKR

Yearly Trough Low 204 LKR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 16.63 LKR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0440

0.0412

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to LKR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0430, compared to 0.0426 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0430

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0426

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0018 LKR (High: 0.0432 / Low: 0.0413). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 LKR (High: 0.0433 / Low: 0.0431).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0018

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.0436) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0444), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0008 (-1.86%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.0436

2015 Avg (April) 0.0444

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0428	0.0413	0.0418
February	0.0432	0.0413	0.0421
March	0.0442	0.0430	0.0433
April	0.0442	0.0430	0.0436
May	0.0441	0.0434	0.0438
June	0.0441	0.0429	0.0435
July	0.0435	0.0429	0.0432
August	0.0433	0.0431	0.0432
September	0.0433	0.0429	0.0431
October	0.0433	0.0425	0.0429
November	0.0427	0.0410	0.0417
December	0.0419	0.0409	0.0414