YEARLY HIGH
0.0493 LKR
YEARLY LOW
0.0406 LKR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0436 LKR

2018 UGX to LKR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to LKR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 0.0493. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 28, dropping to 0.0406.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0088 LKR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0422 to the December average rate of 0.0486, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.95% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0493 was up 14.90% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0429, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 247 LKR
2017 Average 211 LKR
Yearly Trough Low 203 LKR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 43.75 LKR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0493
0.0407
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to LKR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0422, compared to 0.0450 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0027 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0422
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0450

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0028 LKR (High: 0.0434 / Low: 0.0406). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 LKR (High: 0.0428 / Low: 0.0424).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0028
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0009 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0009

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.0486) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0422), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0063 (+15.00%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.0486
2017 Avg (December) 0.0422

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0425 0.0419 0.0422
February 0.0428 0.0424 0.0425
March 0.0428 0.0422 0.0426
April 0.0425 0.0420 0.0423
May 0.0426 0.0419 0.0424
June 0.0420 0.0406 0.0414
July 0.0434 0.0406 0.0424
August 0.0434 0.0426 0.0430
September 0.0443 0.0427 0.0434
October 0.0465 0.0442 0.0453
November 0.0484 0.0459 0.0472
December 0.0493 0.0478 0.0486