2016 UGX to MMK Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3883 MMK

YEARLY LOW

0.3440 MMK

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3614 MMK

2016 UGX to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 22, valuing the pair at 0.3883. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 7, dropping to 0.3440.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0443 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3772 to the December average rate of 0.3749, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3883 was down 0.89% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3918, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,941 MMK

2015 Average 1,721 MMK

Yearly Trough Low 1,720 MMK

Transaction Impact: A difference of 221.42 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3801

0.3459

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3600, compared to 0.3628 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0027 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3600

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3628

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0256 MMK (High: 0.3883 / Low: 0.3627). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0059 MMK (High: 0.3531 / Low: 0.3472).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0256

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0059

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0136 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0136

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.3749) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3863), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0114 (-2.94%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.3749

2015 Avg (December) 0.3863

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3876	0.3721	0.3772
February	0.3735	0.3548	0.3636
March	0.3710	0.3578	0.3619
April	0.3612	0.3484	0.3539
May	0.3531	0.3472	0.3507
June	0.3562	0.3456	0.3528
July	0.3524	0.3440	0.3488
August	0.3588	0.3501	0.3538
September	0.3715	0.3555	0.3635
October	0.3736	0.3654	0.3712
November	0.3719	0.3615	0.3645
December	0.3883	0.3627	0.3749