2018 UGX to MMK Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4301 MMK

YEARLY LOW

0.3538 MMK

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3869 MMK

2018 UGX to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 1, valuing the pair at 0.4301. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 0.3538.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0763 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3696 to the December average rate of 0.4218, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4301 was up 11.82% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.3846, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,150 MMK

2017 Average 1,882 MMK

Yearly Trough Low 1,769 MMK

Transaction Impact: A difference of 381.27 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4346

0.3506

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3637, compared to 0.4101 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0464 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3637

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4101

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0329 MMK (High: 0.3945 / Low: 0.3616). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 MMK (High: 0.3672 / Low: 0.3638).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0329

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0058 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0058

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.4276) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.3725), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0551 (+14.80%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.4276

2017 Avg (November) 0.3725

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3721	0.3667	0.3696
February	0.3672	0.3638	0.3662
March	0.3677	0.3620	0.3658
April	0.3631	0.3577	0.3606
May	0.3640	0.3586	0.3623
June	0.3637	0.3538	0.3576
July	0.3945	0.3616	0.3807
August	0.4117	0.3949	0.4018
September	0.4257	0.4033	0.4124
October	0.4276	0.3986	0.4164
November	0.4301	0.4212	0.4276
December	0.4280	0.4136	0.4218