2015 UGX to MVR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0055 MVR

YEARLY LOW

0.0041 MVR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0048 MVR

2015 UGX to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.0055. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 0.0041.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0014 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0054 to the December average rate of 0.0046, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.0055 was down 12.37% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0063, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28 MVR

2014 Average 30 MVR

Yearly Trough Low 21 MVR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6.85 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.0055

0.0041

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0051, compared to 0.0044 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0051

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0044

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 0.0004 MVR (High: 0.0050 / Low: 0.0046). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 MVR (High: 0.0042 / Low: 0.0042).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0004

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.0054) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0062), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0008 (-13.02%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.0054

2014 Avg (January) 0.0062

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0055	0.0053	0.0054
February	0.0053	0.0053	0.0053
March	0.0053	0.0050	0.0052
April	0.0051	0.0051	0.0051
May	0.0051	0.0050	0.0051
June	0.0050	0.0046	0.0048
July	0.0047	0.0043	0.0046
August	0.0045	0.0042	0.0043
September	0.0042	0.0042	0.0042
October	0.0043	0.0041	0.0042
November	0.0046	0.0043	0.0045
December	0.0047	0.0044	0.0046