2016 UGX to MVR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0046 MVR

YEARLY LOW

0.0042 MVR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0045 MVR

2016 UGX to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 23, valuing the pair at 0.0046. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 0.0042.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0004 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0044 to the December average rate of 0.0043, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0046 was down 16.00% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0055, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23 MVR

2015 Average 24 MVR

Yearly Trough Low 21 MVR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2.22 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0046

0.0042

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0045, compared to 0.0044 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0045

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0044

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0002 MVR (High: 0.0044 / Low: 0.0042). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 MVR (High: 0.0045 / Low: 0.0045).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0002

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.0046) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0051), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0005 (-10.48%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.0046

2015 Avg (April) 0.0051

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0045	0.0044	0.0044
February	0.0046	0.0044	0.0045
March	0.0046	0.0045	0.0045
April	0.0046	0.0045	0.0046
May	0.0046	0.0045	0.0046
June	0.0046	0.0044	0.0045
July	0.0045	0.0045	0.0045
August	0.0045	0.0045	0.0045
September	0.0045	0.0045	0.0045
October	0.0045	0.0044	0.0045
November	0.0044	0.0042	0.0043
December	0.0043	0.0042	0.0043