YEARLY HIGH
0.0145 PHP
YEARLY LOW
0.0136 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0141 PHP

2018 UGX to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 16, valuing the pair at 0.0145. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 0.0136.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0009 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0139 to the December average rate of 0.0142, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.41% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0145 was up 1.57% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0143, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 73 PHP
2017 Average 70 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 68 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4.57 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0143
0.0138
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0141, compared to 0.0142 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0141
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0142

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0008 PHP (High: 0.0145 / Low: 0.0137). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 PHP (High: 0.0143 / Low: 0.0141).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0008
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 0.0142) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0140), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0002 (+1.27%).

2018 Avg (July) 0.0142
2017 Avg (July) 0.0140

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0142 0.0136 0.0139
February 0.0144 0.0141 0.0143
March 0.0144 0.0141 0.0143
April 0.0142 0.0139 0.0141
May 0.0141 0.0139 0.0140
June 0.0140 0.0136 0.0138
July 0.0145 0.0137 0.0142
August 0.0144 0.0142 0.0143
September 0.0143 0.0141 0.0142
October 0.0144 0.0142 0.0143
November 0.0142 0.0140 0.0141
December 0.0144 0.0140 0.0142