YEARLY HIGH
0.0145 PHP
YEARLY LOW
0.0129 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0137 PHP

2021 UGX to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 28, valuing the pair at 0.0145. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 0.0129.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0016 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0130 to the December average rate of 0.0142, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.66% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0145 was up 4.10% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0139, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 72 PHP
2020 Average 67 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 65 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7.88 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0143
0.0129
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0133, compared to 0.0142 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0133
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0142

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 0.0005 PHP (High: 0.0145 / Low: 0.0139). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 PHP (High: 0.0133 / Low: 0.0132).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0005
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0000 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2021: 0.0142) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0131), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0011 (+8.37%).

2021 Avg (September) 0.0142
2020 Avg (September) 0.0131

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0132 0.0129 0.0130
February 0.0134 0.0131 0.0132
March 0.0133 0.0132 0.0133
April 0.0135 0.0132 0.0134
May 0.0136 0.0134 0.0135
June 0.0137 0.0135 0.0136
July 0.0143 0.0138 0.0141
August 0.0144 0.0138 0.0142
September 0.0145 0.0141 0.0142
October 0.0144 0.0140 0.0142
November 0.0143 0.0141 0.0142
December 0.0145 0.0139 0.0142