2016 UGX to PKR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0317 PKR

YEARLY LOW

0.0288 PKR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0307 PKR

2016 UGX to PKR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to PKR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 24, valuing the pair at 0.0317. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.0288.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0028 PKR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0305 to the December average rate of 0.0291, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0317 was down 12.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0364, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 158 PKR

2015 Average 160 PKR

Yearly Trough Low 144 PKR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14.20 PKR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0316

0.0289

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to PKR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0310, compared to 0.0303 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0310

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0303

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0014 PKR (High: 0.0302 / Low: 0.0289). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 PKR (High: 0.0310 / Low: 0.0308).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0014

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.0313) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0340), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0027 (-7.82%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.0313

2015 Avg (April) 0.0340

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0310	0.0302	0.0305
February	0.0312	0.0301	0.0305
March	0.0313	0.0310	0.0311
April	0.0317	0.0311	0.0313
May	0.0316	0.0310	0.0313
June	0.0313	0.0307	0.0311
July	0.0312	0.0308	0.0310
August	0.0311	0.0309	0.0310
September	0.0310	0.0308	0.0309
October	0.0309	0.0303	0.0305
November	0.0302	0.0289	0.0295
December	0.0295	0.0288	0.0291